Greening Melbourne

The results of the Melbourne Federal Election has raised the bar in the forthcoming State election with the seats of Melbourne, Richmond and Brunswick up for grabs.

Analysis of the results show that both Labor and the Liberal Party lost votes to the Greens. The Greens “Its time” “This time I will vote Green” campaign hit its mark.

35% was impressive and beyond expectations. What was also of interest was that the Liberal vote declined from 24% down to 19% indicating that the Liberal party may have played dead in the campaign. Other parties also experienced a drop in their vote

Informal votes (19%) , Sex Party (1.8%*), Family First (43%) and the Greens (58%) all produced an increase (Expressed as a percentage *Sex Party a first time entrant).

At the same time the Liberal Party (-15%), ALP (-20%) and the Democrats (-58%) all experienced a decline in support. The Democrats as a percentage of their support being the greatest loser.

Much of the unexpected win was without any doubt a pox on both your houses. The tell tale sign being the low turnout which at present is 20% below expectation.


First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Enrolment: 102,879 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
PEARSON, Georgia Family First 1,005 1.43 +0.43
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 25,387 36.10 +13.30
MURRAY, Joel Australian Sex Party 1,244 1.77 +1.77
COLLYER, David Australian Democrats 419 0.60 -0.83
GREEN, Penelope Secular Party of Australia 470 0.67 +0.67
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 27,771 39.49 -10.02
OLSEN, Simon Liberal 14,030 19.95 -3.54
…… Citizens Electoral Council of Australia 0 0.00 -0.67
…… Socialist Equality Party 0 0.00 -0.48
…… Other 0 0.00 -0.62
FORMAL 70,326 96.66 -0.54
INFORMAL 2,428 3.34 +0.54
TOTAL 72,754 70.72 -20.78

Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 39,172 55.70 45.29 +10.41
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 31,154 44.30 54.71 -10.41

Greening Melbourne

The results of the Melbourne Federal Election has raised the bar in the forthcoming State election with the seats of Melbourne, Richmond and Brunswick up for grabs.

Analysis of the results show that both Labor and the Liberal Party lost votes to the Greens. The Greens “Its time” “This time I will vote Green” campaign hit its mark.

35% was impressive and beyond expectations. What was also of interest was that the Liberal vote declined from 24% down to 19% indicating that the Liberal party may have played dead in the campaign. Other parties also experienced a drop in their vote

Informal votes (19%) , Sex Party (1.8%*), Family First (43%) and the Greens (58%) all produced an increase (Expressed as a percentage *Sex Party a first time entrant).

At the same time the Liberal Party (-15%), ALP (-20%) and the Democrats (-58%) all experienced a decline in support. The Democrats as a percentage of their support being the greatest loser.

Much of the unexpected win was without any doubt a pox on both your houses. The tell tale sign being the low turnout which at present is 20% below expectation.


First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Enrolment: 102,879 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
PEARSON, Georgia Family First 1,005 1.43 +0.43
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 25,387 36.10 +13.30
MURRAY, Joel Australian Sex Party 1,244 1.77 +1.77
COLLYER, David Australian Democrats 419 0.60 -0.83
GREEN, Penelope Secular Party of Australia 470 0.67 +0.67
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 27,771 39.49 -10.02
OLSEN, Simon Liberal 14,030 19.95 -3.54
…… Citizens Electoral Council of Australia 0 0.00 -0.67
…… Socialist Equality Party 0 0.00 -0.48
…… Other 0 0.00 -0.62
FORMAL 70,326 96.66 -0.54
INFORMAL 2,428 3.34 +0.54
TOTAL 72,754 70.72 -20.78

Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 39,172 55.70 45.29 +10.41
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 31,154 44.30 54.71 -10.41

Greening Melbourne

The results of the Melbourne Federal Election has raised the bar in the forthcoming State election with the seats of Melbourne, Richmond and Brunswick up for grabs.

Analysis of the results show that both Labor and the Liberal Party lost votes to the Greens. The Greens “Its time” “This time I will vote Green” campaign hit its mark.

35% was impressive and beyond expectations. What was also of interest was that the Liberal vote declined from 24% down to 19% indicating that the Liberal party may have played dead in the campaign. Other parties also experienced a drop in their vote

Informal votes (19%) , Sex Party (1.8%*), Family First (43%) and the Greens (58%) all produced an increase (Expressed as a percentage *Sex Party a first time entrant).

At the same time the Liberal Party (-15%), ALP (-20%) and the Democrats (-58%) all experienced a decline in support. The Democrats as a percentage of their support being the greatest loser.

Much of the unexpected win was without any doubt a pox on both your houses. The tell tale sign being the low turnout which at present is 20% below expectation.


First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Enrolment: 102,879 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
PEARSON, Georgia Family First 1,005 1.43 +0.43
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 25,387 36.10 +13.30
MURRAY, Joel Australian Sex Party 1,244 1.77 +1.77
COLLYER, David Australian Democrats 419 0.60 -0.83
GREEN, Penelope Secular Party of Australia 470 0.67 +0.67
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 27,771 39.49 -10.02
OLSEN, Simon Liberal 14,030 19.95 -3.54
…… Citizens Electoral Council of Australia 0 0.00 -0.67
…… Socialist Equality Party 0 0.00 -0.48
…… Other 0 0.00 -0.62
FORMAL 70,326 96.66 -0.54
INFORMAL 2,428 3.34 +0.54
TOTAL 72,754 70.72 -20.78

Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 39,172 55.70 45.29 +10.41
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 31,154 44.30 54.71 -10.41

Sussex Street Sucks: Political Knifes poised to strike.

The night of the long knives. There are many within the Victorian ALP that have set their sights on Sussex Street and the poor performance of the ALP CHQ (Campaign headquarters).

CHQ is criticized for running a disastrous campaign. They are the ones that tried to stage manage the event to the point where they placed the re-election of the ALP in the situation they now find themselves in. CHQ, based in Sydney, has steered the Federal election towards the rocks and the forthcoming shipwreck of the NSW State >abor Party. They should not have been allowed to manage the campaign.

As long as there is chance that the ALP can form a minority government the knives waiting CHQ and the NSW right will remain clenched tight behind backs waiting for the first strike.

Given the extent of the outcome Julia Gillard may be well advised to go into opposition and bide her time and start her campain for election from day one. She will only have to wait 18 months before the fragile coalition begins to crumble and a double dissolution is called.

Sussex Street Sucks: Political Knifes poised to strike.

The night of the long knives. There are many within the Victorian ALP that have set their sights on Sussex Street and the poor performance of the ALP CHQ (Campaign headquarters).

CHQ is criticized for running a disastrous campaign. They are the ones that tried to stage manage the event to the point where they placed the re-election of the ALP in the situation they now find themselves in. CHQ, based in Sydney, has steered the Federal election towards the rocks and the forthcoming shipwreck of the NSW State >abor Party. They should not have been allowed to manage the campaign.

As long as there is chance that the ALP can form a minority government the knives waiting CHQ and the NSW right will remain clenched tight behind backs waiting for the first strike.

Given the extent of the outcome Julia Gillard may be well advised to go into opposition and bide her time and start her campain for election from day one. She will only have to wait 18 months before the fragile coalition begins to crumble and a double dissolution is called.

Hung Parliament: Decision to be made on the floor of the house

Julia Gillard has managed to hold on to what is a cliff hanger of an election. Neither the incumbent or the opposition leader can claim a win.

Convention has it that the incumbent prime-minister/government remains in office until the Governor General is advised otherwise. It could be that Julia calls for decision to be tested in the floor of the house with a vote of confidence in the government.

Questions to be considered by the Independents. Which Party held the majority of votes national wide and just as important which party contributed to the independents election.

Whilst the ALP has lost its majority the Liberal Party has also failed to secure a majority.

Odds are Australia will be going back to the polls if not within three months within the next 18 months.

The newly elected Senate will not take office until July 2011. We can expect that the next election will also be held on the back of a double dissolution no matter which party forms government.

Hung Parliament: Decision to be made on the floor of the house

Julia Gillard has managed to hold on to what is a cliff hanger of an election. Neither the incumbent or the opposition leader can claim a win.

Convention has it that the incumbent prime-minister/government remains in office until the Governor General is advised otherwise. It could be that Julia calls for decision to be tested in the floor of the house with a vote of confidence in the government.

Questions to be considered by the Independents. Which Party held the majority of votes national wide and just as important which party contributed to the independents election.

Whilst the ALP has lost its majority the Liberal Party has also failed to secure a majority.

Odds are Australia will be going back to the polls if not within three months within the next 18 months.

The newly elected Senate will not take office until July 2011. We can expect that the next election will also be held on the back of a double dissolution no matter which party forms government.

Sussex Street Sucks: Political Knifes poised to strike.

The night of the long knives. There are many within the Victorian ALP that have set their sights on Sussex Street and the poor performance of the ALP CHQ (Campaign headquarters).

CHQ is criticized for running a disastrous campaign. They are the ones that tried to stage manage the event to the point where they placed the re-election of the ALP in the situation they now find themselves in. CHQ, based in Sydney, has steered the Federal election towards the rocks and the forthcoming shipwreck of the NSW State >abor Party. They should not have been allowed to manage the campaign.

As long as there is chance that the ALP can form a minority government the knives waiting CHQ and the NSW right will remain clenched tight behind backs waiting for the first strike.

Given the extent of the outcome Julia Gillard may be well advised to go into opposition and bide her time and start her campain for election from day one. She will only have to wait 18 months before the fragile coalition begins to crumble and a double dissolution is called.

Hung Parliament: Decision to be made on the floor of the house

Julia Gillard has managed to hold on to what is a cliff hanger of an election. Neither the incumbent or the opposition leader can claim a win.

Convention has it that the incumbent prime-minister/government remains in office until the Governor General is advised otherwise. It could be that Julia calls for decision to be tested in the floor of the house with a vote of confidence in the government.

Questions to be considered by the Independents. Which Party held the majority of votes national wide and just as important which party contributed to the independents election.

Whilst the ALP has lost its majority the Liberal Party has also failed to secure a majority.

Odds are Australia will be going back to the polls if not within three months within the next 18 months.

The newly elected Senate will not take office until July 2011. We can expect that the next election will also be held on the back of a double dissolution no matter which party forms government.

Docklands to stop the Greens in Melbourne

Melbourne’s newest neighbourhood “Docklands” and the addition of 5,000 new voters in the Melbourne Federal electorate will save Melbourne from a Green challenge.

Despite effort by the media to talk up the Greens chances of winning Melbourne, Melbourne’s newest resident’s are expected to give the Liberal Party the edge relegating the Greens to third place and out of contention to win the seat of Melbourne

Dockland resident’s and Melbourn’a first time voters are expected to favour the Liberal Party boosting the Liberal Party’s vote over 25%.

In 2007 the Liberal Party polled a primary vote of 23.5%, 610 votes ahead of the Greens who only polled 22.8%. After preferences the Liberal Party fell short by 591 votes a margin of 0.67% in a head to head contest against the Greens.

Game over.