Melbvotes: Voter Turn out and 27% of electorate to decide outcome of poll

With one hour until the polls close voters in Melbourne are rushing to vote to avoid a fine. Voter turn out is expected to be lower than in 2010.  Each of the main parties Labor and Greens are elected to poll around 32%.  The big unknown factor is where will the 27% who voted Liberal place their vote?

A low turn out is expected to favour the Greens. Liberal Party supporters have been left high and dry not knowing who to support.  Many will opt to vote informal or may transfer their vote to the conservative  Christian Groups.  Many Liberal voters are weighing up their choices “Greens versus Labor”. Many will cast a blank ballot and a considerable number will vote down the ballot 1 to 16 starting from the top.   A high informal vote and low participation rate will boost the Greens chances. Independent Liberal David Nolte (Unendorsed) is expected to pickup a large swag of the Liberal Party vote.

There are a host of rat bag socialist, looney left, green left and “independent candidates” who are actively trying to win over a few votes (together they will represent less than 3% of the overall vote most if not all will lose their deposit).

Labor and Green preferences will not be distributed but all other candidates will.

So who will be left standing and who will get their deposit back?   Those who are set to have their deposit returned are Berhan Ahmed (top of the ballot), David Nolte, Jennifer Kanis (ALP), Michael Murphy (DLP), Stephen Mayne, Fiona Pattern (Sex Party) and Cathy Oke (Greens) The rest are just stroking their egos.  As one egocentric left candidate on the booths tried to make out that if the result is determined by 20 votes they will have been the king maker, which of course will not be the case.  Most if not all the minor parties with the exception of the Christian alliance can not direct preferences. 40% or more will stray. The donkey vote, low voter turn out and level of informal vote will be the main decider.

We should know the overall results of the election by 7:30PM once the first three booths are declared.

Melbvotes: Voter Turn out and 27% of electorate to decide outcome of poll

With one hour until the polls close voters in Melbourne are rushing to vote to avoid a fine. Voter turn out is expected to be lower than in 2010.  Each of the main parties Labor and Greens are elected to poll around 32%.  The big unknown factor is where will the 27% who voted Liberal place their vote?

A low turn out is expected to favour the Greens. Liberal Party supporters have been left high and dry not knowing who to support.  Many will opt to vote informal or may transfer their vote to the conservative  Christian Groups.  Many Liberal voters are weighing up their choices “Greens versus Labor”. Many will cast a blank ballot and a considerable number will vote down the ballot 1 to 16 starting from the top.   A high informal vote and low participation rate will boost the Greens chances. Independent Liberal David Nolte (Unendorsed) is expected to pickup a large swag of the Liberal Party vote.

There are a host of rat bag socialist, looney left, green left and “independent candidates” who are actively trying to win over a few votes (together they will represent less than 3% of the overall vote most if not all will lose their deposit).

Labor and Green preferences will not be distributed but all other candidates will.

So who will be left standing and who will get their deposit back?   Those who are set to have their deposit returned are Berhan Ahmed (top of the ballot), David Nolte, Jennifer Kanis (ALP), Michael Murphy (DLP), Stephen Mayne, Fiona Pattern (Sex Party) and Cathy Oke (Greens) The rest are just stroking their egos.  As one egocentric left candidate on the booths tried to make out that if the result is determined by 20 votes they will have been the king maker, which of course will not be the case.  Most if not all the minor parties with the exception of the Christian alliance can not direct preferences. 40% or more will stray. The donkey vote, low voter turn out and level of informal vote will be the main decider.

We should know the overall results of the election by 7:30PM once the first three booths are declared.

Melbvotes: Voter Turn out and 27% of electorate to decide outcome of poll

With one hour until the polls close voters in Melbourne are rushing to vote to avoid a fine. Voter turn out is expected to be lower than in 2010.  Each of the main parties Labor and Greens are elected to poll around 32%.  The big unknown factor is where will the 27% who voted Liberal place their vote?

A low turn out is expected to favour the Greens. Liberal Party supporters have been left high and dry not knowing who to support.  Many will opt to vote informal or may transfer their vote to the conservative  Christian Groups.  Many Liberal voters are weighing up their choices “Greens versus Labor”. Many will cast a blank ballot and a considerable number will vote down the ballot 1 to 16 starting from the top.   A high informal vote and low participation rate will boost the Greens chances. Independent Liberal David Nolte (Unendorsed) is expected to pickup a large swag of the Liberal Party vote.

There are a host of rat bag socialist, looney left, green left and “independent candidates” who are actively trying to win over a few votes (together they will represent less than 3% of the overall vote most if not all will lose their deposit).

Labor and Green preferences will not be distributed but all other candidates will.

So who will be left standing and who will get their deposit back?   Those who are set to have their deposit returned are Berhan Ahmed (top of the ballot), David Nolte, Jennifer Kanis (ALP), Michael Murphy (DLP), Stephen Mayne, Fiona Pattern (Sex Party) and Cathy Oke (Greens) The rest are just stroking their egos.  As one egocentric left candidate on the booths tried to make out that if the result is determined by 20 votes they will have been the king maker, which of course will not be the case.  Most if not all the minor parties with the exception of the Christian alliance can not direct preferences. 40% or more will stray. The donkey vote, low voter turn out and level of informal vote will be the main decider.

We should know the overall results of the election by 7:30PM once the first three booths are declared.

Melbvotes: Stephen Mayne falls short of his expectations

Stephen Mayne has had a lower than expected support.  Unable to to man the polls fully, Mayne’s campaign has failed to bite.  Mayne is seen overall as a spoiler anti-labor trouble maker candidate, whose sole aim is to feed preferences to the Greens in exchange for Green preferences in support of his opportunistic bid for the City of Melbourne Council election in October.  In spite Mayne’s feeble and misleading attempt to portray himself as a Liberal Candidate by wearing a t-shirt in Liberal colors, Stephen Mayne has been challenged by Family First, the DLP and Independent Liberal candidate David Nolte.  Mayne is expected to poll below 10% and possible as low as 6%.

Poll workers are reporting a lower then expected turnout which may favour the Greens. There is a lot of resentment towards the Green’s open door policy for people smugglers which has highlighted their inability to play a constructive roll in government. Even Cathy Oake was trying to play down this issue during the Friday media door stop. Overall poll workers are saying there is a better mood at the booths then in 2010.

The Socialist party and other minor feeder groups including the now defunct and unregistered “Australian Democrats” are actively trying to direct preferences to the Greens but they are being eclipsed by the more conservative Christian groups (DLP, Family First and Australian Christians – The Holly Trinity) are silently and effectively campaigning  away.  All three have successfully maned each polling place.

The Australian Sex party has also manned each booth but they are not as active in their campaign.  The Sex Party which trades mainly on its name, unlike the  Conservative Christian groups, will not be able to direct preferences.  The Holly Trinty are expected now to out poll trouble serial candidate Stephen Mayne.

Melbvotes: Stephen Mayne falls short of his expectations

Stephen Mayne has had a lower than expected support.  Unable to to man the polls fully, Mayne’s campaign has failed to bite.  Mayne is seen overall as a spoiler anti-labor trouble maker candidate, whose sole aim is to feed preferences to the Greens in exchange for Green preferences in support of his opportunistic bid for the City of Melbourne Council election in October.  In spite Mayne’s feeble and misleading attempt to portray himself as a Liberal Candidate by wearing a t-shirt in Liberal colors, Stephen Mayne has been challenged by Family First, the DLP and Independent Liberal candidate David Nolte.  Mayne is expected to poll below 10% and possible as low as 6%.

Poll workers are reporting a lower then expected turnout which may favour the Greens. There is a lot of resentment towards the Green’s open door policy for people smugglers which has highlighted their inability to play a constructive roll in government. Even Cathy Oake was trying to play down this issue during the Friday media door stop. Overall poll workers are saying there is a better mood at the booths then in 2010.

The Socialist party and other minor feeder groups including the now defunct and unregistered “Australian Democrats” are actively trying to direct preferences to the Greens but they are being eclipsed by the more conservative Christian groups (DLP, Family First and Australian Christians – The Holly Trinity) are silently and effectively campaigning  away.  All three have successfully maned each polling place.

The Australian Sex party has also manned each booth but they are not as active in their campaign.  The Sex Party which trades mainly on its name, unlike the  Conservative Christian groups, will not be able to direct preferences.  The Holly Trinty are expected now to out poll trouble serial candidate Stephen Mayne.

Melbvotes: Stephen Mayne falls short of his expectations

Stephen Mayne has had a lower than expected support.  Unable to to man the polls fully, Mayne’s campaign has failed to bite.  Mayne is seen overall as a spoiler anti-labor trouble maker candidate, whose sole aim is to feed preferences to the Greens in exchange for Green preferences in support of his opportunistic bid for the City of Melbourne Council election in October.  In spite Mayne’s feeble and misleading attempt to portray himself as a Liberal Candidate by wearing a t-shirt in Liberal colors, Stephen Mayne has been challenged by Family First, the DLP and Independent Liberal candidate David Nolte.  Mayne is expected to poll below 10% and possible as low as 6%.

Poll workers are reporting a lower then expected turnout which may favour the Greens. There is a lot of resentment towards the Green’s open door policy for people smugglers which has highlighted their inability to play a constructive roll in government. Even Cathy Oake was trying to play down this issue during the Friday media door stop. Overall poll workers are saying there is a better mood at the booths then in 2010.

The Socialist party and other minor feeder groups including the now defunct and unregistered “Australian Democrats” are actively trying to direct preferences to the Greens but they are being eclipsed by the more conservative Christian groups (DLP, Family First and Australian Christians – The Holly Trinity) are silently and effectively campaigning  away.  All three have successfully maned each polling place.

The Australian Sex party has also manned each booth but they are not as active in their campaign.  The Sex Party which trades mainly on its name, unlike the  Conservative Christian groups, will not be able to direct preferences.  The Holly Trinty are expected now to out poll trouble serial candidate Stephen Mayne.